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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-09-14T19:25Z

Model Inputs:
2024-09-14T15:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-50.0, Lat.=8.0, Speed=1070.0, HalfAngle=51.0, Time21.5=2024-09-14T18:08Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-09-16T15:38Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -7.2 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 22.7 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.0
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=6
(kp)135=8
(kp)180=8

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-16T14:25Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-15T12:01Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-09-17T03:00Z (Minor Impact) [PE: -0.5 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240914_180800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-09-14T19:33Z by Chris Stubenrauch

A Notification with ID 20240914-AL-007 was sent on 2024-09-14T19:45Z
A Notification with ID 20240915-AL-002 was sent on 2024-09-15T17:58Z

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